2022 Fantasy Schedule Strength: Receiver

The strength of the schedule for receivers lumps wide receivers and tight ends together as each team uses positions differently. The reality is that while the overall averages are interesting, no position is as sensitive to individual encounters as acknowledgments hitting specific defenders. This makes the analysis less accurate than running backs and quarterbacks.

The analysis also takes into account the venue. There’s a difference between how the defense reacts at home or away, and that leads to 64 “different defensive matchups” depending on where the game is being played.

See also:
Strength of the 2022 Fantasy Football Schedule – Quarterbacks
Strength of the 2022 Fantasy Football Schedule – Running Backs
Strength of the 2022 Fantasy Football Schedule – Receivers

The average passing fantasy points allowed by defenses for receivers over the past year are at the bottom of this page for reference.

total score

In fantasy competitions and some leagues only the total score counts. Below are the total points for each passing offense as per their schedule using the averages allowed by these defenses in 2021.

WAS JAC BUF NYG PHI ATL LAK THE KC cin DARE
713 710 710 705 703 701 699 693 692 687 687
CH DET TB DAL NO SEA IND GB NO SF
685 683 682 682 681 681 681 677 677 677
HOW TEN MIA MINIMUM LAR ARI LV BAL NYJ PIT CLE
675 675 674 673 672 662 660 659 653 649 646

The NFC East all perform best, while the AFC North takes on the toughest games for receivers. However, these are totals for all recipients, so they are less meaningful for individual benefits.

weekly game

Below are three different views. Weeks 1 through 17 is the fantasy power of the entire season. “The Dorey Rulesays to Draft as if the season only lasted the first six weeks for a hot start. Finally, weeks 15 through 17 represent the most common fantasy playoffs. ‘Good’ games were when they faced one of the top 22 venues over the last year; “Bad” was when they played in one of the worst 22. Bye weeks were considered “bad.”

Notable schedules

Terry McLaurin / Jahan Dotson (WAS) – The commanders are transitioning to Carson Wentz as quarterback, while Terry McLaurin is coming off back-to-back 1,000-yard seasons and 1.16 pick Jahan Dotson is expected to start. McLaurin was easy on touchdowns, but that should bring some relief given the easiest receiver schedule. The Commanders are just three of the toughest venues and an NFL high ten game with cheap matchups. After Week 7 they only face one strong opponent while the new passing game should come together.

Marvin Jones / Christian Kirk / Evan Engram (JAC) – While the Jaguars aren’t the most noticeable starting wideouts, the 2021 disaster will set them back and Trevor Lawrence will use his trio of receivers to get back on track. Weeks 8-10 aside, the schedule features nine positive matchups, starting with six of the first seven games against weaker runners-up. After the first month of the season, it should be clear whether the Jaguars are on the road to improvement.

Kenny Golladay / Kadarius Toney (NYG) – A change of manager should help Daniel Jones’ lackluster exit and while the schedule isn’t packed with easy matchups, he’s nice with just one game against a tougher venue. It’s a mid-range of opponents but a chance for the new offense to come together.

AJ Brown / Devonta Smith / Dallas Goedert (PHI) – Expectations for the Eagles skyrocketed with the addition of AJ Brown to the passing offense. A favorable group of opponents only makes an improvement more likely. Their Week 13 schedule is as beneficial as any in the NFL with eight favorable matchups and no tough weeks. That goes away when three of the next four weeks face tight-fisted defensive ends as the fantasy playoffs begin.

Rashod Bateman / Devin Duverney / Mark Andrews (BAL) – The Ravens have lost Marquise Brown and are left with only Andrews as a tried and tested receiving weapon. What makes it worse – they have the worst schedule for recipients. You only have two cheap matchups ahead of you, and those will be taken care of in week 7. Bateman is a popular sleeper as the new No. 1 in the wideout, but he’s hitting eight of the worst defensive spots.

Diontae Johnson / Chase Claypool (PIT) – The Steelers are entering their new era without Ben Roethlisberger and could switch quarterbacks later this season. The receivers got used to the short-yard passes last year and can run downfield again, but are shadowed by mostly solid defensive backs. After Week 1, the next six games will feature five difficult venues. That should slow progress while the Steelers decide which quarterback to rely on.

DeAndre Hopkins / Marquise Brown (ARI) — Hopkins is already suspended for six weeks and upon his return, the Cardinals will only enjoy a softer matchup as they take on five of the tougher venues over the next seven weeks. With Christian Kirk gone, Kyler Murray must brace himself for fresh starting wideouts without Hopkins as he faces a tougher stretch of games in the first half of the season.

Week grid 2022

Week ARI ATL BAL BUF DARE CH cin CLE
1 KC NO @NYJ @LAR CLE SF PIT @DARE
2 @LV @LAR MIA TEN @NYG @GB @DAL NYJ
3 LAR @SEA @NE @MIA NO HOW @NYJ PIT
4 @DARE CLE BUF @BAL ARI @NYG MIA @ATL
5 PHI @TB cin PIT SF @MINIMUM @BAL LAK
6 @SEA SF @NYG @KC @LAR WAS @NO NO
7 NO @CIN CLE goodbye TB @NE ATL @BAL
8th @MINIMUM DARE @TB GB @ATL @DAL @CL cin
9 SEA LAK @NO @NYJ @CIN MIA DARE goodbye
10 @LAR @DARE goodbye MINIMUM ATL DET goodbye @MIA
11 SF CH DARE CLE @BAL @ATL @PIT @BUF
12 LAK @WAR @JAC @DET THE @NYJ @TEN TB
13 goodbye PIT THE @NE goodbye GB KC @HOU
14 NO goodbye @PIT NYJ @SEA goodbye CLE @CIN
15 @THE @NO @CL MIA PIT PHI @TB BAL
16 TB @BAL ATL @Chi DET BUF @NE NO
17 @ATL ARI PIT @CIN @TB @DET BUF @WAR
18 @SF TB @CIN NO @NO MINIMUM BAL @PIT
DAL THE DET GB HOW IND JAC KC
1 TB @SEA PHI @MINIMUM IND @HOU @WAR @ARI
2 cin HOW WAS CH @THE @JAC IND LAK
3 @NYG SF @MINIMUM @TB @Chi KC @LAC @IND
4 WAS @LV SEA NO LAK TEN @PHI @TB
5 @LAR IND @NE NYG @JAC @THE HOW LV
6 @PHI @LAC goodbye NYJ goodbye JAC @IND BUF
7 DET NYJ @DAL @WAR @LV @TEN NYG @SF
8th CH @JAC MIA @BUF TEN WAS THE goodbye
9 goodbye goodbye GB @DET PHI @NE LV TEN
10 @GB @TEN @Chi DAL @NYG @LV @KC JAC
11 @MINIMUM LV @NYG TEN WAS PHI goodbye @LAC
12 NYG @DARE BUF @PHI @MIA PIT BAL LAR
13 IND @BAL JAC @Chi CLE @DAL @DET @CIN
14 HOW KC MINIMUM goodbye @DAL goodbye @TEN @THE
15 @JAC ARI @NYJ LAR KC @MINIMUM DAL @HOU
16 PHI @LAR @DARE @MIA @TEN LAK @NYJ SEA
17 @TEN @KC CH MINIMUM JAC @NYG @HOU THE
18 @WAR LAK @GB DET @IND HOW TEN @LV
LAK LAR LV MIA MINIMUM NO NO NYG
1 LV BUF @LAC NO GB @MIA @ATL @TEN
2 @KC ATL ARI @BAL @PHI @PIT TB DARE
3 JAC @ARI @TEN BUF DET BAL @DARE DAL
4 @HOU @SF THE @CIN @NO @GB MINIMUM CH
5 @CL DAL @KC @NYJ CH DET SEA @GB
6 THE DARE goodbye MINIMUM @MIA @CL cin BAL
7 SEA goodbye HOW PIT goodbye CH @ARI @JAC
8th goodbye SF @NO @DET ARI @NYJ LV @SEA
9 @ATL @TB @JAC @Chi @WAR IND BAL goodbye
10 @SF ARI IND CLE @BUF goodbye @PIT HOW
11 KC @NO @THE goodbye DAL NYJ LAR DET
12 @ARI @KC @SEA HOW NO @MINIMUM @SF @DAL
13 @LV SEA LAK @SF NYJ BUF @TB WAS
14 MIA LV @LAR @LAC @DET @ARI goodbye PHI
15 TEN @GB NO @BUF IND @LV ATL @WAR
16 @IND THE @PIT GB NYG cin @CL @MINIMUM
17 LAR @LAC SF @NE @GB MIA @PHI IND
18 @THE @SEA KC NYJ @Chi @BUF DARE @PHI
NYJ PHI PIT SEA SF TB TEN WAS
1 BAL @DET @CIN THE @Chi @DAL NYG JAC
2 @CL MINIMUM NO @SF SEA @NO @BUF @DET
3 cin @WAR @CL ATL @THE GB LV PHI
4 @PIT JAC NYJ @DET LAR KC @IND @DAL
5 MIA @ARI @BUF @NO @DARE ATL @WAR TEN
6 @GB DAL TB ARI @ATL @PIT goodbye @Chi
7 @THE goodbye @MIA @LAC KC @DARE IND GB
8th NO PIT @PHI NYG @LAR BAL @HOU @IND
9 BUF @HOU goodbye @ARI goodbye LAR @KC MINIMUM
10 goodbye WAS NO @TB LAK SEA THE @PHI
11 @NE @IND cin goodbye @ARI goodbye @GB @HOU
12 CH GB @IND LV NO @CL cin ATL
13 @MINIMUM TEN @ATL @LAR MIA NO @PHI @NYG
14 @BUF @NYG BAL DARE TB @SF JAC goodbye
15 DET @Chi @DARE SF @SEA cin @LAC NYG
16 JAC @DAL LV @KC WAS @ARI HOW @SF
17 @SEA NO @BAL NYJ @LV DARE DAL CLE
18 @MIA NYG CLE LAR ARI @ATL @JAC DAL

Fantasy points allowed per game for quarterbacks

These are the values ​​that will be applied to this year’s schedule to determine the strength of the schedule for wide receivers and tight ends.

TEN 49.5 DAL 42.1 @LAR 39.0
CLE 48.6 SF 41.9 LVR 39.0
@CIN 48.5 @NO 41.7 @LVR 38.7
BAL 47.9 @JAC 41.6 @TB 38.3
MIA 47.5 SEA 41.5 @KC 38.2
@DET 47.3 WAS 41.3 @DARE 37.9
@MINIMUM 46.4 @ARI 41.2 @PIT 36.9
@BAL 46.2 @NYJ 41.2 LAK 36.6
GB 46.1 ATL 41.1 NYJ 36.5
CH 45.8 @DAL 41.0 @NE 36.1
KC 45.6 ARI 40.9 @THE 35.7
@IND 45.4 DET 40.6 @CL 34.9
@SEA 45.1 TB 40.5 cin 34.7
@LAC 44.9 @ATL 40.4 @NYG 34.6
@PHI 44.7 @TEN 40.3 BUF 34.2
MINIMUM 44.1 DARE 40.1 NO 34.0
JAC 43.8 @SF 39.7 @MIA 33.7
LAR 43.8 HOW 39.7 THE 33.5
@WAR 43.3 PIT 39.4 @Chi 33.4
NYG 43.3 @GB 39.3 PHI 33.4
IND 43.0 NO 27.0
@HOU 42.3 @BUF 23.3

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