Breece Hall: Top-15 running back with upside? (2022 Fantasy Football)

The New York Jets made Breece Hall the first running back selected in the 2022 NFL Draft. While many have been hoping for a better landing spot, dig deeper and you might see Hall entering his rookie season in more than meets the eye. It has to be argued that Hall could be a value compared to his current consensus average draft (ADP) position of RB25 and expert consensus ranking of RB20.

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Latest news related to Breece Hall

Breece Hall is considered the Jets’ lead back

The New York Jets intend to use both Breece Hall and Michael Carter in complementary roles away from the backfield, “but Hall is the lead back,” writes The Athletic’s Connor Hughes. The Jets reportedly consider the rookie a “home run threat.” (Source: The Athletic)

Fantasy Impact: Hughes explains that the Jets like both Hall and Carter, but “they were always watching [Carter] an ideal complement to Mike LaFleur’s Running Back by Committee. Hall is now the Batman of Carter’s Robin.” Of course, this makes sense after the Jets made Hall the first running back to be drafted this spring. During his senior year at Iowa State, he produced 1,472 rushing yards, 289 receiving yards and 23 total touchdowns. He goes into his rookie season as an RB3 with the advantage of the low-end RB1. Carter, on the other hand, is still a very attractive threat who can take lead-back duties if Hall suffers an injury or the Jets need fresh legs. As a rookie last season, Carter averaged just under 1,000 scrimmage yards (14 games) but finished with double-digit fantasy points seven times, including a 32.2-point performance in Week 8. He has a lower cap but always can still deliver FLEX Appell 2022 weekly.

Breece Hall 2022 Fantasy Football Outlook

My highest ranking rookie running back is Breece Hall. The Jets selected the Iowa State product to lead Round 2, signifying its status as the team’s stalled RB1 for the foreseeable future. Hall’s 3-down skills suggest he never needs to come off the field, and the sheer volume he’s amassing will catapult him into Redraft’s top 20 running territory.

Iowa State’s product totaled over 4,500 yards from scrimmage, 50 touchdowns and 80 catches in three seasons in the collegiate ranks.

A workload of roughly 240 touches — based on ESPN fantasy analyst Mike Clay’s predictions and how many touches the cumulative Jets RB1 earned over the last season — would put Hall in the top-15 considering every running Back last season who reached this threshold ended up within this ranking.

2021 fourth-place finisher Michael Carter had his moments as a rookie, but the Jets know he’s just a No. 2 running back. Expect Hall to shoulder 15 to 20 touches per game based on the workload Carter received last season when Tevin Coleman missed time.

In weeks 7 through 9 that Coleman was sidelined, Carter averaged 19 touches per game and a 66% snap percentage. After Coleman’s return from injury in Week 10, Carter averaged 14 touches per game and a 55% snap percentage in the games they played together.
— Andrew Erickson

Breece Hall lands with the New York Jets and should get as much volume as possible. Michael Carter has been tremendously productive when he’s healthy and given the opportunity last year, but that kind of draft capital speaks volumes. New York, deployed in and out of the zone over the past year, used 60% of its rushing snaps (per PFF). Those run designs are Hall’s bread and butter as he registered a forced missed tackle rate on out-of-zone runs of 36% (per PFF) in 2021. The Jets should have no trouble getting him into space with an offensive line that ranked 11th in open fields last season (according to Football Outsiders).
– Derek Brown

FantasyPros Staff Consensus 2022 rewrite of the fantasy football rankings

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