Buy or sell for key Seahawks players through 2022

Fantasy Football has fueled the growth and interest in the NFL and has done so for over a decade. While there will always be a spot to cheer for your favorite team in a real game, traditional fantasy leagues and DFS are now an important part of the sport. What does this mean for the Seattle Seahawks?

Let’s break it down by position based on what’s happened so far this offseason. Here’s a look at how we think about the key pieces on Seattle’s list through 2022 from a fantasy perspective.

QB Geno Smith: Sell

(AP Photo/Ted S. Warren)

Most people seem to think Drew Lock will be the starter on this team, but we’re betting Geno Smith will be below center in Week 1. While his experience makes him the most qualified quarterback on the roster, he’s best avoided by fantasy players. Smith looked good against the Rams and the Jaguars. However, the LA defense struggled and prepared for another QB. Meanwhile, Jacksonville made perhaps their worst defensive effort of the entire 2021 season in that loss. Smith will most likely play like he did against New Orleans and Pittsburgh. While he’s done well as a backup, he won’t crack the top 15 QBs in fantasy production most weeks.

QB Drew Lock: Wait and see

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During his time in Denver, Drew Lock has proven he has plenty of athleticism and enough arm strength to occasionally wow you. However, there’s a reason he’s only played about a season and a half in the three years since he was drafted. To date, Lock has thrown just 25 touchdown passes with 20 interceptions and 13 fumbles. He’ll have more firepower to work with here, but he’s still unlikely to be a legitimate fantasy QB1. Unless your league is either very deep or very weird, Lock should still be available after the first draft. Fantasy fans who want to give him a shot should at least see how he fares in a Seattle uniform before picking him up from waivers.

RB Rashaad Penny: Buy

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In the first three and a half seasons of his NFL career, Rashaad Penny was on track to become one of the worst first-rounders in recent memory. Then, over the course of the 2021 season, he suddenly became the most explosive running back in football. He was RB1 in fantasy from weeks 14-18 and should be a top-end producer this year if he stays healthy. Even better, Penny’s current ADP is only No. 107. If you miss out on the first-round elite RBs, Penny is an excellent backup plan.

RB Ken Walker: Buy, buy, buy

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Then again, there’s a reason Penny’s ADP is so low despite its historic performance late last year. Adding to his injury history, the Seahawks fielded Michigan State stud Ken Walker, who was arguably the best running back in the class, in the second round. Pete Carroll has never taken a running-back-by-committee approach, and there’s no reason to think this season will be any different. However, if Penny regresses or gets injured again, there’s a good chance Walker will take on the role of the team’s lead. His athleticism and skill combined with Seattle’s run-heavy approach should make him a formidable pick-up — especially in Dynasty leagues.

RB Chris Carson: Sell

(AP Photo/John Froschauer)

When he’s healthy, Chris Carson is one of the most underrated running backs in the league. Unfortunately, his neck injury is seriously jeopardizing his career. At the very least, Walker’s draft is likely a sign that the Seahawks are hedging their bets on Carson’s future. His long-term health is obviously far more important than a game – let alone fantasy football. Nevertheless, fantasy fans should avoid him for the time being.

WR DK Metcalf: Buy

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In the three games Russell Wilson missed last season, DK Metcalf continued to put up impressive numbers with Geno Smith. Even more impressively, Metcalf had 75 catches, 976 yards and 12 touchdowns despite suffering from a serious foot injury for most of the year. Even against the league’s best shutdown cornerbacks like No. 14 Jalen Ramsey, things can get going, like the 98 yards and two touchdowns he threw for the Rams in October. Putting it all together, Metcalf is basically recession-proof as far as fantasy goes.

WR Tyler Lockett: Sell

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As Metcalf continued to play with Wilson, Tyler Lockett’s production took a real hit. He ended up having a strong game against Jacksonville, but again, numbers from that game deserve a serious asterisk. Lockett is likely the Seahawks player who will suffer the most from Wilson’s absence. The remarkable relationship he had with No. 3 when a game collapses is unlikely to resurface with either Smith or Lock as a starter. We still expect Lockett to be a solid receiver as far as real football goes, but his fantasy stock is definitely trending down.

TE Noah Fant: Wait and see

(AP Photo/Jack Dempsey)

Noah Fant is easily the most athletic and capable passing tight end on the Seattle roster heading into the 2022 season. However, that doesn’t mean he’ll be able to produce real TE1 numbers in fantasy. To date, he has averaged around 650 yards and 3.5 touchdowns per season. That’s a decent production, but it’s too early to tell if he’s getting enough goals to continue, let alone surpass, that trend. His established chemistry with Lock is a plus, but again we’re betting Geno will start in week 1. Fant is probably worth keeping on your roster as a backup option, but don’t count on him being your #1 option at this point as the season gets underway.

K Jason Myers: Sell

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Jason Myers had a perfect 2020 season in which he successfully completed all 24 of his field goal attempts. Last year, Myers fell behind, hitting just 17 of 23 field goals, or just 73.9%. His 2022 numbers will likely fall somewhere between those two extremes, and his career average is a solid 84.7%. However, Myers’ numbers depend largely on an offense that doesn’t have an established starting QB and will likely be the most run-heavy in the NFL. Look elsewhere at kicker.

Seahawks D/ST: Buy

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Aside from Ken Walker, the Seahawks’ revamped defense could be the most intriguing bit of 2022 as far as the imagination goes. Defensive coordinator Clint Hurtt and assistant head coach Sean Desai will bring a more aggressive approach than we’ve come to expect from this team. In theory, that should lead to more sacks, interceptions and fumbles than in recent years. Chances are it will also be difficult to score in this group in Year 1 while opponents are still finding a new scheme. Seattle also has a strong special teams unit capable of making splash plays for touchdowns and two-point conversions.

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