Detroit Lions 2022 NFL Betting Preview: Odds and Predictions

Ahead of the 2022 NFL season, Post Action Betting will be releasing a gambling preview for all 32 teams in the NFL National Football Leaguewhich covers the schedule, predictions, outright wins on over/under picks and prop betting for each team. Today we will cover the Houston Texans.

Detroit Lions (125/1 to win Super Bowl, BetRivers)

Record 2021: 3-13-1, 4th in NFC North

After a bye in Week 9, the Lions were desperate to go on an 8-0 winning streak as they faced the Steelers. And although Detroit ultimately didn’t win, it avoided another loss after the game ended in a tie.

This game against the Steelers was one of six in which Detroit tied or lost by four points or fewer. Losing forever certainly went to Lions head coach Dan Campbell, who seemed to crumble at times during his post-game presses.

The Lions’ losses were never due to lack of effort, however, as the team continued to battle for their head coach every Sunday.

Detroit put itself in a great position to make a step forward as Pro Football Focus awarded the organization an A- offseason and an A+ by draft.

The BetMGM logo

Claim a risk-free first bet up to $1,000

New customers only. Must be 21+. AZ, CO, IA, IL, IN, LA, MI, NJ, NY, PA, TN, VA, WV, WY only. Full T&Cs apply.

Caesars sports betting logo square

Up to $1,500 risk-free first bet

Only for new users aged 21+. NY, CO, DC, IA, IN, IL, MI, NV, NJ, PA, TN, VA, WV only. Full T&Cs apply.

FanDuel logo square

$1,000 No Sweat First bet

21+. New customers only. AZ, CT, IA, IL, LA, MI, NJ, NY, PA, TN, WV, WY only. The terms and conditions apply

Let’s take a look at these moves and assess what we can find out in terms of their total wins in 2022.

Lions Offseason Movements: Draft, Trades, Free Agent Signings, Injury Report

  • Added C Evan Brown and WRs DJ Chark Jr., Josh Reynolds and Caliph Raymond on offense.
  • Defense added edge rusher Charles Harris and safety Tracy Walker III and CJ Moore.
  • The Lions selected the highest rated player in the Michigan draft, DE Aidan Hutchinson (No. 2).
  • Added Alabama WR Jameson Williams (No. 12), Kentucky OL Joshua Paschal (No. 46), Illinois Safety Kerby Joseph (No. 97), Virginia Tight End James Mitchell (No. 177), Oklahoma State Linebacker Malcolm Rodriguez (No. 188), Jackson State’s edge rusher James Houston (No. 217) and Arizona State cornerback Chase Lucas (No. 237).

Detroit Lions 2022 schedule

Week 1: vs Eagles
Week 2: against Commanders
Week 3: @ Vikings
Week 4: vs. Seahawks
Week 5: @ Patriots
Week 6: Bye
Week 7: @ cowboys
Week 8: against dolphins
Week 9: against Packer
Week 10: @ bears
Week 11: @ Giants
Week 12: vs. bills
Week 13: against jaguars
Week 14: vs Vikings
Week 15: @jets
Week 16: @Panthers
Week 17: vs. bears
Week 18: @Packer

NFL Betting Lines: Lions win O/U overall

6.5 wins (fan duel)

There is some optimism about the Lions this season as we are seeing some juice from their -125 win total to over 6.5. After all, Detroit’s Pythagorean expectation suggested positive regression as it should have been closer to a five-win season.

With upgrades on both sides of the ball, I think the Lions have a better chance of turning some of those coin flip games into actual wins on their ledger.

What impressed me most about the Lions’ offseason was their concerted approach to addressing their weak points, like the secondary wide receiver and both the offensive and defensive lines.

Every move Detroit made had a clear plan and strategy that should set them well in the years to come after this season.

Jared Goff.
Jared Goff falls back to pass for the Lions
Getty Images

And although quarterback Jared Goff has faced criticism, he’s one of only a few quarterbacks who are still in the league and have played in a Super Bowl. Goff should benefit immensely from the Lions’ improved talent at the wide receiver position.

The Lions have the fourth-softest schedule for the upcoming season, according to Action Network’s predictive analyst Sean Koerner. Adding it all up, topping 6.5 wins and being a surprise team in the NFC North bodes well for Detroit.

Lions O/U 6.5 wins: The election

Over 6.5 wins

The best bets, futures and props from experts

D’Andre Swift under 850.5 rushing yards (fan duel)

D’Andre Swift has yet to play a full season in his two years in the NFL. The former Georgia running back has been dealing with groin and shoulder injuries and missed time with a concussion.

As a result, Swift has only eight starts in two seasons in 26 games. Even when he does play, Swift generally plays a limited role on offense, with just 20 or more touches in four career games.

D'Andre Swift Lions.
D’Andre Swift takes the field during practice for the Lions.
Getty Images

Being an NFL player also means being ready to play on Sundays. And I’ll admit I’m starting to think the Lions are also wondering if they can count on Swift to be their primary running back.

Detroit can still use Jamaal Williams as a workhorse, and I’ve been impressed with what they got out of Craig Reynolds, who averaged over 4.0 yards per carry on 55 tries last season.

I think we can expect Reynolds to get more touches, and if Detroit is in a better position to control more of their games, Williams will get the bulk of the second-half carries.

Betting on the NFL?

When you factor in Detroit’s investment in the wide receiver position, I don’t think they’ll commit to running the ball again after finishing 21st with a 40.44% run-play rate. This all points to Swift falling below 850.5 rushing yards in 2022.

Leave a Comment