This 2022 Dynasty Fantasy Football Trade Value Chart looks different than other trade charts you are used to. Most other analysts take their dynasty rankings, apply random numbers to each player based on ranking, and call it a day.
I tried to make this quarterback chart more useful by providing context. Explanations of the individual columns can be found at the bottom of the page.
All values are based on a 12 team Superflex league with 10 starters and full PPR Scoring without a TE premium. Click on the links below to view values for other positions.
QB | RB | WR | TE
trade value level
This column gives the rough market value for each player in terms of draft capital. Players and tips can be combined to create fair offers. For example, a player worth three first-round picks would be approximately equal to a player worth two first-round picks plus another player worth one first-round pick.
This column contains my dynasty ranking by position. I recommend focusing more on the trade value level than the rank column. Players within the same tier are very similar, and I’d usually be happy to trade players at the top of a tier for a lower-tier player of the same tier if I can get draft picks or other assets on top. The rankings take market value into account.
I would try to target players in trades marked “Strong Buy” or “Buy” if you can purchase them at market value. I would try trading players labeled “Strong Sell” or “Sell” if you can get market value in return. The ranks and tier stats take market value into account, so I believe players with the Buy label will either produce more Fantasy Points than their market value indicates, or the market value will increase in the future. The opposite is true for players marked “Sell”.
For example, Joe Burrow has a sky-high market value despite only scoring 19.0 fantasy points per game last season. Deshaun Watson averaged 22.3 fantasy points per game for his career. In spite of a big risk with Watson, I think he will end up being the better fantasy producer. However, if I were to choose between Watson and Burrow in a startup today, I would still choose Burrow because its market value is much higher than Watson’s. I would just trade Burrow later for either Watson plus other assets or another QB. For this reason, Burrow is listed as Strong Sell and Watson as Buy, but Burrow is ranked above Watson in the chart.
This column is based on all 2021 games, including the NFL playoffs. When calculating these values, I removed any games where a player got injured and left the game early while missing a significant amount of their normal snaps. Additionally, meaningless Week 18 games were removed for some players who saw a drastically reduced snap share.
For example, Christian McCaffrey‘s numbers increased significantly as he removed the games he left early. I think it makes more sense to have a picture of how well a player is playing and look at injury risk separately. boys like Saquon Barkley and Antonio Gibson who played injured in the last year were not adjusted unless they left a particular game early with an injury.
This column contains data from the same games with the same injury adjustments as the PPG column.
XFP calculates the value of each goal and rushing attempt based on the distance to the end zone and air yards. These historical data attributes strongly correlate with actual fantasy scores (PPR scoring).
For more information on expected fantasy points and how to use our XFP data tool, click on the link below:
RSJ’S XFP TOOL: CARRIES, TARGETS AND AIR YARDS FOR EVERY PLAYER
Breakdown of Shares
|purpose of use||8/15|
|On the top||/5|