Fantasy Football: Top 10 players fade at ADP in first six rounds | Fantasy Football News, Rankings and Predictions

A key component of winning a fantasy draft is maximizing your draft capital. We love analyzing the potential League Winner We can get a discount, but it’s equally important to avoid overspending. You’ll find that some of the players listed below are great NFL players, but in fantasy land they have a much higher opportunity cost than similar options you can draft later.

Note: Based on consensus average draft position (ADP) prior to round 7 (pick 84). ESPN, RTSports, Fantrax and Sleeper PPR Leagues.


Josh Allen, buffalo bills | Choose 25 | QB1

All is mine top quarterback for the 2022 season. In the last four years, the valuation gap between the QB1 and QB12 has grown by over 30%, begging the question – why is Allen listed as overpriced?

Over the same period, the difference between the QB1 and QB6 is much smaller (13%) and we have that multiple mid-round options that make great tips in rounds 5 and 6.

There are also a few other reasons to fade Allen at such a high price:

  • The opportunity cost is much lower in rounds 5 and 6 for similar quarterbacks; we don’t have to pass a bonus running back or receiver.
  • Wide receiver ranks flattened out and running back ranks hit a cliff midway through rounds, meaning a pivot to a dual-threat quarterback in that area gives us a strategic advantage.
  • We could see the delta between QB1 and QB6 narrowing even more as we get more dual threat options in starting positions.


Nick Chub, Cleveland Browns | Choose 18 | RB10

Chubb is one of the best straight runners in the NFL, and his The underlying metrics tell us that he has an advantage over RB1 overall if he ever gets the backfield to himself. Unfortunately, that probably won’t happen because Kareem hunt is almost as good on the ground and a better option when passing.

Hunt gets the touch of the trailing script and often takes the lead in blowout leads, relegating Chubb to a relatively narrow window of useful game scripts. Additionally, we saw that the Browns were unwilling to expand on Chubb’s role, even if allowing Hunt to get injured D’Ernest Johnson accept inheritance.

Chubb doesn’t make that list in standard leagues, but his price tag is too high in PPR and semi-PPR scoring.

Ezekiel Elliott, Dallas Cowboys | Select 31 | RB17

Elliott has had a hot start to 2021, averaging 18.9 points per game in the first six games. However, in week 4, he sustained a PCL injury that could have resulted in a drop in performance and loss of snaps for Tony Pollard.

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