Target Players on Good Offenses: Buccaneers (2022 Fantasy Football)

Recently, Andrew Erickson explored the benefits of targeting players on good offense. This can help your fantasy strategy design. Let’s take a look at the Buccaneers and the profiles players can target in their offense.

Fantasy Football Re-Draft Draft Kit

Target players with good offense: Buccaneers

TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS – MEAN ADP (72)

If you want access to the most fantasy-friendly offenses in the league, there’s no better way than drafting this team’s quarterback. Tom Brady is the QB9 after ADP after retiring last season third in points per game (22.7) as PFF’s second-highest rated quarterback. There’s no reason to bet he won’t be playing at a high level in 2022, even at 45.

Most notably how pass-heavy the Buccaneers are with the GOAT under center, creating an excess of opportunities for Brady and co. to rack up fantasy points.

TB12 led the NFL in attempts (42/game) and passing yards (312/game). Tampa Bay has the third-highest neutral game script passplay rate on early downs and situational pace of play since Brady came to Florida two years ago. Not shocking that the drafters want every piece of that offense they can get with 17 players boasting Tampa ADPs.

And the easiest way to take advantage of Brady’s prolific passing attack is to sign players like Russell Gage and/or Cameron Brate.

Gage has had a stellar year after setting career highs in yards per route run (1.96) and PFF ratings (76.0) while playing more on the outside. Gage Split is often thought of as a “slot only” wideout, snapping 50/50 from the slot versus the outside in 2021.

He also led the Falcons with a 29% goal share since Week 11 – playing 53% of his snaps for the outside – showing his ability to earn passing volume alongside the talented Kyle Pitts.

Most reports remain pretty bleak on Chris Godwin’s anticipation of being back in Week 1, opening the door for Gage to become an absolute banger if WR44 exits the top 100 picks.

privateer player profiles

Tom Brady (QB)
At age 44, Tom Brady attempted the most passes in the league (719) and finished with the most passing yards (5,316) and second most passing touchdowns (43) in every single season of his career. Brady was the QB3 in fantasy points per game. While he may not reach those heights in 2022, he will still lead one of the NFL’s fastest and most talented offenses. If Brady’s fountain of youth and avocado milkshakes can delay fathertime, he’s a top 5-10 option at the position in Fantasy.

Leonard Fournette (RB)
It’s been a long journey for Leonard Fournette from his final days as “Fat Lenny” with the Jacksonville Jaguars, who earned the nickname “Lombardi Lenny” for his brilliant play for Tampa Bay over the past year and a half.

He impressed the Buccaneers’ front office — and a certain No. 12 quarterback — enough to land a fat three-year deal with his old team, valued at $21-$24 million. With his performance and contract, there is no doubt that he will be the firmly established starter for the Bucs and that is exactly the outcome Fantasy Football wants.

Fournette ranked fifth in fantasy points and fourth in expected fantasy points per game before his injury in Week 15, and led all runs in receptions (62). Upon returning to the lineup for the Buccaneers’ playoff matchup against the Los Angeles Rams, Fournette resumed Bell Cow duties, playing 86% of Tampa Bay’s offensive snaps with 22 touches for 107 yards from scrimmage.

With all-round ability at just 27 years old, Fournette possesses an easy top 10 running back fantasy appeal. He slips into my early 2022 running back rankings as an RB8 because a fantasy RB1 is exactly what he was on the Tom Brady-led offense.

Rachaad White (RB)
Rookie RB Rachaad White looks just like Leonard Fournette’s backup at the moment. But there is one outcome where he offers massive advantages should Lenny go down with an injury or return to Fat Lenny.

White has hints of David Johnson and Le’Veon Bell in his playing style, which obviously hasn’t escaped the attention of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers’ new chief football adviser, Bruce Arians.

The Arizona State product ranked first in its class in receiving yards, #1 in yards per distance run (2.24), and second in receiving (43).

His 16% target percentage is absolutely insane for a college-level runback, and it did wonders to generate his third-round draft capital.

The same is true for White’s 31% dominator rating and 3.33 offensive yards per snap over the past two seasons. Both would have finished in the top three in last year’s class.

His yards per snap and PFF receiving score also rank first in class. White’s career assessment was also superior to any of the others in last year’s class.

After a strong performance at Senior Bowl week — PFF’s top-rated rusher (74.9) — and the NFL Combine — and NFL Combine performance — 38-inch vertical jump (86th percentile), 125-inch long jump (87 . percentile) – White has the potential to win the league if given the opportunity on the Buccaneers offense.

Mike Evans (WR)
Mike Evans had only 16% goal percentage throughout the regular season and playoffs, but still finished eighth in both fantasy points per game and overall half-score.

The Buccaneers wide receiver hit his eighth straight 1,000-yard season and set a career high with 14 touchdown grabs, beating his 2020 record. Double-digit touchdowns accompanied by a low goal percentage are usually a sign of this to fade a wide receiver. but that’s hardly the case in a passing offense led by Tom Brady.

Chris Godwin (WR)
Chris Godwin ranked second in receptions (92, career-high) and eighth in fantasy points per game (18.1) while leading Tampa Bay with a 21% goal share through Week 14.

Once deemed sane, it’s hard to imagine Godwin not returning a top 12 fantasy stat in an aggressive airstrike led by TB12.

Russell Gage (WR)
Russell Gage takes on the comfortable WR3 role in one of the fastest, most pass-lucky offenses in the league. If Chris Godwin gets off to a slow start or the season starts with the PUP, Gage could be promoted to Brady’s second option. Gage has the talent to handle it after showing 2021. He was 17th in yards per route run (minimum 50 goals, per PFF) and 12th in route win rate (per Playerprofiler.com). Brady has proven he can back a bevy of pass catchers in fantasy and Gage could be the latest beneficiary of the Brady bump.

Cameron Brate (TE)
Gronk’s departure from Tampa also has a massive impact on the Buccaneers’ tight end space because he pushes Cameron Brate into the starting tight end role — the Harvard man has a contract through 2024.

Though Brate wasn’t a factor in the games he played for Gronkowski last season. He averaged just three goals and 3.8 fantasy points per game. However, he’s split with OJ Howard (who signed for Buffalo this offseason), so there’s reason to believe he’ll have a more fruitful role in 2022. Not to mention his competition for goals last season – Chris Godwin, Mike Evans and Antonio Brown – will look much less ominous to open the year between mainly Evans and Russell Gage.

He’s worth drafting in Best Ball Drafts as long as his price stays low, but don’t fly the skies to catch him in redraft formats. His goal rate of under 9% per route run while Gronk was paused doesn’t exactly inspire confidence that Brate is Brady’s man. They’re hoping his 20 red zone goals — with multiple close ends in 2nd place — see him emerge as the boom-or-bust TD scorer from last season. It wouldn’t be the first time Brate was a fantasy TE1, finishing in the top 8 in 2016 and 2017.

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