Today’s best bets on the MLB schedule, June 23rd

Today's best bets on the MLB schedule, June 23rd

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Every day throughout the season we’ll give you betting advice on a National League and American League game and throw in a few quick pitches for player prop bets, over under bets or money line bets on other games.

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National League best bet

Philadelphia Phillies +140 at San Diego Padres -150

9:40 p.m. ET

The Philadelphia Phillies have been one of the hottest teams in MLB since June 1, but they are suffering two losses to the Texas Rangers, who have won all four scheduled games against the Phillies this season.

The San Diego Padres are in a near dead heat with the Los Angeles Dodgers and are a much better team than the Rangers.

However, the market has overpriced the Padres and I’m going tonight with the opposite bet on the Phillies with the money line.

The MLB betting angle of the day

This betting system has produced a record of 81-69 for 55% winning bets. It has averaged an underdog bet of +162 and given the $100 bettor a profit of $6,200 over the last 20 seasons, going 7-0 over the last five seasons. The requirements are:

  • Bet on underdogs of +140 and above.
  • Our dog takes on an opponent who averages 0.9 or fewer home runs per game.
  • The opponent comes in two back-to-back games where they pin 10 or more runners on base in each game.

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American League Best Bet

Houston Astros +110 at New York Yankees -120

7:05 p.m

This begins a four-game showdown of the AL division’s leading teams in what could be a preview of the ALCS.

The following are the situational trends and perspectives that support a Betting opportunity on the Astros and is a money line bet I’m taking to the window.

  • The Astros are 24-9 on the moneyline when they face an AL foe who has been hitting 4.9 or more runs per game on the season in games played the past two seasons.
  • The Astros are 11-1 on the moneyline when they face a starting pitcher who has won 80% of his games in the last three seasons.

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Fast pitches

These are some other bets to consider for today’s schedule.

  1. Take Bryce Harper from the Phillies to get at least two hits at +230 on FanDuel.
  2. Take Orioles’ Dean Kremer under 3.5 earned runs at -160 at Caesars.
  3. Take Astros’ Yordan Alverez to hit a home run at +320 on FanDuel.

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